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Harris Leads 2028 Democratic Primary Polls, Newsom Follows

2/16/2026

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Story summary
  • Kamala Harris, former Vice President, leads the 2028 Democratic presidential primary polling with a 27.5 percent average.
  • California Governor Gavin Newsom is at 22.7 percent, followed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9 percent and Pete Buttigieg at 8.7 percent.
  • A Focaldata poll shows Harris at 39 percent and Newsom at 21 percent.
  • Betting odds give Newsom a 32 percent chance, Harris has 7 percent, with Josh Shapiro among other candidates.