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Trump and Netanyahu's Strategy to Pressure Iran's Oil Exports

2/17/2026, 3:46:04 AM

Core Agreement on Economic Pressure

United States President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have reached an agreement to intensify economic pressure on Iran, particularly targeting its oil exports to China. This strategy was discussed during a meeting at the White House on February 11, where both leaders acknowledged the need to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. However, they diverged on the methods to achieve this goal. Trump expressed optimism about negotiating a deal with Iran, while Netanyahu remained skeptical, asserting that Iran would not comply with any agreement.

Focus on Iranian Oil Exports

The central aspect of their agreement involves limiting Iran's oil sales to China, which currently accounts for over 80% of Iran's oil exports. The reduction of these exports is expected to significantly impact Iran's economy and potentially make the country more amenable to concessions regarding its nuclear program. Trump's administration has taken steps to facilitate this pressure, including an executive order that allows for tariffs of up to 25% on countries conducting trade with Iran. This move could exacerbate tensions with China, as it would increase duties on Chinese imports.

Diverging Perspectives on Negotiations

While Trump is hopeful about the possibility of reaching a satisfactory deal with Iran, advisers Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner have indicated that negotiations will be challenging. They believe that while a deal is difficult, it is not impossible. In contrast, a second official expressed a more pessimistic view, stating there is "zero chance" that Iran or the US will agree to each other's proposals. This disagreement highlights the complexities involved in the diplomatic efforts surrounding Iran's nuclear ambitions.

Military Context and Future Implications

The agreement to apply economic pressure on Iran coincides with a military buildup by the US in the Middle East, suggesting that military options may be considered if diplomatic efforts fail. The potential for regional disruptions remains a concern, as Iran's response to increased pressure could lead to instability in oil markets.

Official Statements & Responses

Trump's administration has emphasized the importance of maximum pressure on Iran, with a senior US official stating, "We agreed that we will go full force with maximum pressure against Iran, for example, regarding Iranian oil sales to China." Meanwhile, Netanyahu has consistently argued that negotiating with Iran is futile, emphasizing that any agreement would likely be disregarded by Tehran.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “We'll see if it's possible. Let's give it a shot” — Donald Trump, President of the United States
  • “A second official told Axios there is "zero chance" that Iran or the US will agree to what the other proposes.” — Anonymous US Official

Conclusion

The collaboration between Trump and Netanyahu to exert economic pressure on Iran represents a significant shift in strategy, focusing on oil exports as a lever for negotiations. While both leaders agree on the end goal of preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, their differing approaches to achieving this aim underscore the complexities of international diplomacy in the region. As negotiations continue, the implications for US-China relations and regional stability remain to be seen.