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Germany's Population Set to Decline by 5% by 2050

2/17/2026

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Story summary
  • The Ifo Institute for Economic Research projects Germany's population will decline by nearly 5% over the next 25 years, falling to about 79 million by 2050.
  • The decline is driven by lower migration inflows and reduced birth rates, marking the lowest level since 1990.
  • Working-age people fall roughly 12%, while pensioners rise over 20%, straining the pay-as-you-go system that already consumes a quarter of the budget.