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February 2026: Volatile Markets Amid Rising Layoffs and Disinflation

2/17/2026

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Story summary
  • Analysts expect volatility to persist in the fixed income market in February 2026 due to mixed economic signals.
  • Layoffs are rising across sectors, with notable weakness in healthcare.
  • If the Federal Reserve prioritizes job preservation over inflation control, interest rates may fall more than anticipated.
  • Disinflationary pressures could push inflation below the Fed's 2% target, helped by declining housing costs and potential reductions in AI investment.