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Declining Favorability Among Democrats Ahead of Midterm Elections

2/18/2026, 7:54:28 PM

Overview of the Current Sentiment

Recent polling from the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research reveals a significant decline in favorability toward the Democratic Party among its rank-and-file members. Following President Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 election, only about 70% of Democrats express a positive view of their party, a stark decrease from 85% in September 2024. Despite a series of electoral wins in special elections, this sentiment has not rebounded, indicating a potential long-term issue for the party as it approaches the midterm elections.

Key Polling Insights

The AP-NORC poll indicates that while a majority of Democrats still maintain a favorable view of their party, this positivity has diminished compared to previous years. The poll shows that 35% of U.S. adults trust Democrats to handle health care, compared to 23% for Republicans. However, Democrats have not capitalized on Republicans' declining trust regarding the economy and immigration, with only 31% of adults trusting Republicans on economic issues, down from 36% the previous year. Notably, a growing number of Americans now express trust in "neither" party.

Broader Public Sentiment

The dissatisfaction is not limited to Democrats; overall public sentiment toward both major parties is low. Approximately one-quarter of Americans hold negative views of both the Democratic and Republican parties, with this sentiment particularly pronounced among independents and younger voters. Historical data from Gallup indicates that negative perceptions of the Democratic Party have been increasing since around 2010, with current negativity rivaling the lowest points for Republicans.

Frustration Within the Democratic Base

A separate survey from the Pew Research Center highlights that about two-thirds of Democrats reported feeling frustrated with their party, with many citing a lack of strong leadership and insufficient opposition to Trump as key concerns. This frustration appears consistent across various demographics, suggesting that targeted appeals to specific groups may not effectively address the underlying issues.

Official Statements & Responses

Democratic leaders acknowledge the challenges ahead. They recognize the need to address internal dissatisfaction while also leveraging their strengths, particularly in health care, to regain favor with voters. The party's ability to navigate these issues will be crucial as they prepare for the upcoming midterm elections.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

While the AP-NORC poll provides a comprehensive view of current sentiments, discrepancies exist regarding the extent of dissatisfaction among Democrats. Some sources suggest that the decline in favorability is unusually steep compared to past election cycles, while others indicate that such fluctuations are common in political landscapes.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “And despite overwhelming victories in November’s off-season elections and a string of wins since then, those views haven’t recovered.” — AP-NORC Poll
  • “Many Americans are negative about both parties It’s not just Democrats — Americans aren’t thrilled with either party right now.” — AP-NORC Poll

As the Democratic Party approaches the midterm elections, addressing internal discontent while capitalizing on public trust in health care may be essential for regaining favor among voters.