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Brexit to Slash UK GDP, Investment by 2025

2/18/2026

45 10 Full Breakdown

Center

Brexit Economic Decline

By 2025, U.K. GDP per capita is estimated to be 6–8% lower due to Brexit.
By 2025, Brexit contributed to a 12–18% decline in business investment.
By 2025, employment and productivity fell by 3–4%.
The impact unfolded gradually, driven by persistent uncertainty, higher trade barriers, and resource diversion from productive activities.
The analysis highlights the long-term costs of disengaging from global trade networks.

Right

Labour's EU Opportunity

Labour is considering closer ties with the European Union, including rejoining the customs union.
The Prosperity Institute warns this could cost the UK £30-40 billion annually and hurt GDP.
Economists say it would tether British businesses to a declining European market.
The Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves sees stronger European Union relations as a major opportunity despite internal Labour pressure against rejoining the customs union.

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Brexit Economic Decline

By 2025, U.K. GDP per capita is estimated to be 6–8% lower due to Brexit.
By 2025, Brexit contributed to a 12–18% decline in business investment.
By 2025, employment and productivity fell by 3–4%.
The impact unfolded gradually, driven by persistent uncertainty, higher trade barriers, and resource diversion from productive activities.
The analysis highlights the long-term costs of disengaging from global trade networks.

1 / 2