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CEOs Doubt AI's Impact on Productivity and Jobs

2/20/2026

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Story summary
  • National Bureau of Economic Research finds 90% of CEOs across four economies say AI has not impacted productivity or employment.
  • Seventy percent of firms use AI, but use remains minimal at 1.5 hours weekly.
  • More than half of CEOs report no financial return from AI investments.
  • AI adoption rose from 61% to 71% between early 2025 and early 2026.
  • Executives forecast a 1.4% productivity gain and a 0.5% employment decline.