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MLB's Emerging Pitching Talent: Breakout Candidates for 2026

2/21/2026, 12:26:28 PM

Overview of Breakout Pitchers

As Major League Baseball (MLB) teams prepare for the 2026 season, several pitchers are poised for significant breakthroughs. This article highlights key players from the National League Central who are expected to elevate their performance based on their recent statistics and potential.

Chicago Cubs: Daniel Palencia

Daniel Palencia, a 26-year-old relief pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, had a notable 2025 season with 54 games played, 22 saves, a 2.91 ERA, and a 1.14 WHIP. Despite facing challenges, including a late-season injury, Palencia's impressive fastball averaging 99.6 mph and a slider with a 39.4% whiff rate suggest he has the potential to become one of baseball's elite closers. Manager Craig Counsell's early support indicates confidence in Palencia's ability to further develop his skills.

Cincinnati Reds: Chase Burns

Chase Burns, a 23-year-old starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, is another player to watch. In 2025, he appeared in 13 games, starting 8, with a 4.57 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Burns demonstrated his potential with 67 strikeouts in just 43.1 innings. As he enters spring training, he is expected to secure a permanent spot in the starting rotation, competing primarily with Rhett Lowder. Burns's trajectory suggests he could evolve into a legitimate ace.

Milwaukee Brewers: Logan Henderson

Logan Henderson, a promising 25-year-old pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, showcased his talent in five spot starts during the previous season, achieving a remarkable 1.78 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Following the trade of Freddy Peralta, Henderson has a clearer path to a starting role. His development of a reliable breaking ball, particularly a curveball he is refining this spring, will be crucial for his success in the upcoming season.

Pittsburgh Pirates: Braxton Ashcraft

Braxton Ashcraft, 24, began his MLB career in a multi-inning relief role before transitioning to the rotation in August. In 2025, he recorded a 2.71 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 26 games, including 8 starts. His strong finish, with a 2.16 ERA in his last eight starts, positions him well for a full-time rotation role in 2026. While Bubba Chandler may have a higher ceiling, Ashcraft's immediate prospects appear more favorable.

St. Louis Cardinals: Michael McGreevy

Michael McGreevy, a 25-year-old pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, had a mixed 2025 season, posting a 4.42 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 17 games, with 16 starts. While his performance was not as standout as others, McGreevy remains a player to monitor as he continues to develop within the Cardinals' pitching staff.

Conclusion: The Future of NL Central Pitching

The National League Central is home to several pitchers with the potential for breakout seasons in 2026. As teams finalize their rosters and strategies, the development of these players will be critical in shaping their respective teams' success. Each pitcher's unique skills and recent performances indicate that they could make significant contributions in the upcoming season.