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Story perspectives

Russia's Crude Exports Surge Amid Sanctions and Smuggling

2/22/2026

43 7 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Russia's seaborne crude exports rose despite sanctions, with Baltic shipments reaching 12.7 million tons in January 2026, nearly half transported by sanctioned tankers.
  • A study finds sanctions caused initial panic but were quickly bypassed.
  • A smuggling network moved over $90 billion in Russian oil, complicating price-cap enforcement.
  • Experts say restrictions could target chokepoints such as the Danish and Dover Straits, banning sanctioned vessels from EU and G7 waters.