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AI Capex Surge Raises Credit Concerns, Worries Investors

2/23/2026

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Story summary
  • UBS Group AG projects AI hyperscalers' capex could exceed $770 billion in 2026, up 23% from prior estimates.
  • The surge in capex drives more funding through credit markets rather than cash flow, raising creditworthiness concerns.
  • BlackRock, Inc. warns that rising corporate borrowing could overwhelm bond markets, increasing scrutiny on AI-related profits.
  • Investors fear rapid data-center deployment may outpace returns, potentially harming debt holders.