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Taleb Warns of Volatility and Bankruptcies Amid AI Rally

2/24/2026

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Story summary
  • Nassim Taleb, risk analyst, warns investors to expect higher volatility and possible bankruptcies in software as the AI rally proves fragile.
  • He notes AI will yield profits while early pioneers may be displaced.
  • The S&P 500 fell 1% amid tariff uncertainties, signaling risk.
  • US deficits and tariffs could undermine the dollar as a reserve currency and worsen inequality.
  • Tensions with Iran may disrupt oil supply and trigger an economic shock.