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Trump's State of the Union: Sports Predictions Soar

2/25/2026

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Story summary
  • Kalshi's prediction market estimates U.S. President Donald Trump will reference sports in the State of the Union, with 93% for Olympics or World Cup and 90% for hockey.
  • This follows the U.S. men’s hockey team’s win over Canada, celebrated by inviting the team to attend the address.
  • Lawmakers warn these markets could incentivize harmful real-world actions, while CFTC Chair Michael Selig defends them against state regulation.