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Medicare, Social Security Face Solvency Crisis by 2040

2/25/2026

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Story summary
  • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projects solvency gaps in Medicare and Social Security, with Medicare exhausted by 2040, Social Security by 2032, and an 8% benefit cut.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump claimed the U.S. is thriving due to his tax policy and the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA).
  • Experts warn fixing the gaps will require significant legislative action, including tax increases or benefit cuts that would contradict Trump's claims.