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Medicare, Social Security Face Crisis Without Legislative Action

2/25/2026

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CBO Warns Solvency Crisis
  • CBO reports show Medicare and Social Security face solvency crises, with the Medicare Trust Fund exhausted by 2040 and Social Security by 2032.
  • The Medicare crisis could trigger benefit cuts of about 8% starting in 2040.
  • Addressing the crisis, the CBO indicates significant legislative action is needed, including tax increases or benefit reductions.
  • These findings contradict U.S. President Donald Trump’s tax-cut promises and his One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA).
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