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Liberal Party Expands Lead Amid Conservative Struggles

2/26/2026

45 9 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

The Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, leads national polling at 45% vs 33% for the Conservatives, expanding the margin from nine to twelve points.
Conservatives face a caucus defection and declining support, contributing to the widening gap.
Ontario Liberals are gaining traction, especially in the Greater Toronto Area, while the NDP falls to 17%.
Premier Doug Ford's approval stands at 30%, and upcoming byelections could shift party dynamics.

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Story summary

The Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, leads national polling at 45% vs 33% for the Conservatives, expanding the margin from nine to twelve points.
Conservatives face a caucus defection and declining support, contributing to the widening gap.
Ontario Liberals are gaining traction, especially in the Greater Toronto Area, while the NDP falls to 17%.
Premier Doug Ford's approval stands at 30%, and upcoming byelections could shift party dynamics.