Fantasy Baseball Injuries Impacting 2026 Draft Strategies

As the 2026 fantasy baseball season approaches, several prominent players are dealing with injuries that could significantly influence draft strategies. Notably, New York Yankees right-handed pitcher Gerrit Cole, who has been a top fantasy option since his debut in 2013, is recovering from Tommy John surgery. Cole missed the entirety of the 2025 season and is expected to return in May 2026, although this timeline may be optimistic. His average draft position (ADP) has plummeted, placing him outside the top 300, which may lead fantasy managers to overlook him during drafts.

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Similarly, Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler is recovering from thoracic outlet syndrome, a condition that ended his 2025 season prematurely. Wheeler is projected to return in May and remains a popular choice, with an ADP ranking within the top 150. The contrast in ADP between Cole and Wheeler raises questions about the perceived risk associated with their respective injuries.

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Several other players are also facing significant injuries as the season begins. Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Corbin Carroll underwent surgery for a fractured hamate bone in mid-February. While he is expected to miss only a brief period, the Diamondbacks are cautious about his recovery. New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor has had the same surgery, and while he is a second-round pick, his recovery timeline remains uncertain.

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Baltimore Orioles second baseman Jackson Holliday is another player starting the season on the injured list due to a hamate injury. Meanwhile, Houston Astros relief pitcher Josh Hader is dealing with biceps inflammation, and Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Blake Snell continues to struggle with shoulder issues.

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Critics argue that the injuries to key players like Cole and Wheeler could lead to a lack of depth in fantasy rosters, particularly for managers who rely heavily on high-profile pitchers. The differing ADP rankings for Cole and Wheeler have raised eyebrows, suggesting that fantasy managers may be undervaluing Cole's potential return.

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The Philadelphia Phillies expressed optimism regarding Wheeler's recovery, stating, "We believe Zack can return to the rotation in May." In contrast, the Yankees have not provided a definitive timeline for Cole's return, leaving fantasy managers uncertain about his viability for the upcoming season.

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• “Don't forget about Cole on draft day.” — ESPN Fantasy Baseball Analyst

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As the season progresses, fantasy managers will need to monitor the recovery of these injured players closely. The potential for mid-season returns could impact league standings, especially for those who choose to stash players like Cole and Wheeler on their injured lists.

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