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Intuit Projects Lower Third-Quarter Profits Amid Increased Marketing Spend

2/27/2026, 11:49:57 AM

Overview of Financial Forecasts

Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ: INTU), the parent company of TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma, has announced that it expects its third-quarter earnings to fall below Wall Street estimates. The company forecasts adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $12.45 to $12.51, compared to the average analyst estimate of $12.95. This projection comes as Intuit ramps up its marketing and customer support expenditures to attract more users during the peak U.S. tax season, which began on January 26 and runs until the filing deadline of April 15.

Strategic Marketing Investments

Chief Financial Officer Sandeep Aujla indicated that the increased spending is aimed at maximizing opportunities in the assisted tax preparation and QuickBooks segments. Intuit anticipates approximately 10% revenue growth for the quarter, aligning closely with analysts' expectations of 9.9%. Despite the expected profit miss, the company reported a 17% revenue increase to $4.65 billion for the second quarter, surpassing the consensus estimate of $4.53 billion.

AI Integration and Competitive Landscape

In response to concerns about the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on traditional software demand, Intuit has entered multi-year partnerships with AI firms Anthropic and OpenAI. These collaborations aim to integrate advanced AI capabilities into Intuit's products, enhancing personalized financial guidance and automating tasks such as bookkeeping. Aujla noted that over 3 million clients currently engage with the company's AI agents, emphasizing the strategic importance of these investments.

Market Reaction and Stock Performance

Following the announcement of its third-quarter outlook, Intuit's shares experienced a significant drop of approximately 5% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor concerns about the company's ability to maintain growth amidst increased spending. Year-to-date, Intuit's stock has declined by about 46%, contrasting with the S&P 500's modest gain of 1.5%. Analysts have expressed caution, noting that if customer growth does not keep pace with increased marketing expenditures, the financial impact could be detrimental.

Criticism and Concerns

Critics have raised concerns regarding the sustainability of Intuit's growth strategy, particularly in light of rising competition from firms like H&R Block and Oracle's NetSuite. Some analysts suggest that while Intuit's investments in AI may enhance its offerings, the immediate financial implications could be challenging if customer acquisition does not meet expectations. The balance between spending on marketing and achieving customer retention remains a critical focus for investors.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “We're paying OpenAI and Anthropic for the capabilities. We're not paying them revenue share,” — Sandeep Aujla, CFO of Intuit.
  • “defining a new category at the intersection of AI and human intelligence.” — Sasan Goodarzi, CEO of Intuit.

What's Next for Intuit?

As the tax season progresses, investors will closely monitor Intuit's performance in the assisted tax and QuickBooks segments. The upcoming earnings call on March 2 will provide further insights into customer activity and the effectiveness of the company's marketing strategies. Any adjustments to guidance or indications of AI investments translating into revenue growth will be critical for shaping market perceptions moving forward.