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Texas Senate Seat at Risk: Cornyn Faces Paxton Challenge

2/27/2026

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Story summary
  • Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) warned that Texas's Senate seat could flip to Democrats if Sen. John Cornyn (R) loses the GOP primary to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.
  • Polls show Paxton leading Cornyn, raising concerns among Republicans about November.
  • National Republicans have spent nearly $100 million on the primary.
  • Paxton has strong grassroots support.
  • The primary is set for May 26 and has significant implications for Senate control.