Story perspectives

2026 Tornado Season Forecast: Fewer Tornadoes, Higher Storm Risks

2/28/2026

Summary

Story summary

AccuWeather forecasts the 2026 tornado season will be less active than 2025, with 1,050 to 1,250 tornadoes.
Despite fewer tornadoes, meteorologists warn of higher risks from severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, and flash flooding in March–April 2026.
The end of La Niña is expected to shift patterns, raising concerns about straight-line winds and derechos.
Forecasters emphasize preparedness, noting that even fewer tornadoes can cause significant damage if storms hit populated areas.

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Story summary

AccuWeather forecasts the 2026 tornado season will be less active than 2025, with 1,050 to 1,250 tornadoes.
Despite fewer tornadoes, meteorologists warn of higher risks from severe thunderstorms, damaging winds, and flash flooding in March–April 2026.
The end of La Niña is expected to shift patterns, raising concerns about straight-line winds and derechos.
Forecasters emphasize preparedness, noting that even fewer tornadoes can cause significant damage if storms hit populated areas.