Texas Senate Runoff: Cornyn vs. Paxton

The Texas Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat has resulted in a runoff between incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, scheduled for May 26, 2026. Neither candidate secured the necessary majority in the primary, with Cornyn receiving 41.9% and Paxton 40.7% of the votes. The outcome of this runoff is significant as it reflects broader tensions within the Republican Party regarding its direction and strategy heading into the general election against Democratic nominee James Talarico.

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John Cornyn, a four-term senator, is viewed as the establishment candidate, while Ken Paxton positions himself as a more conservative alternative aligned with former President Donald Trump. Paxton has publicly criticized Cornyn, labeling him a "coward" for not supporting the abolition of the filibuster to pass the SAVE America Act, which he deems crucial for Trump's agenda. Cornyn, on the other hand, has faced skepticism from some Republicans due to his past bipartisan efforts, particularly on gun safety legislation.

Newsweek

President Donald Trump has not yet endorsed a candidate but is expected to support Cornyn, as indicated by sources. Trump has expressed urgency for a swift resolution to the primary, stating, “The Republican Primary Race... cannot... be allowed to go on any longer.” He has also threatened to ask the losing candidate to withdraw from the race immediately. Trump's endorsement is seen as pivotal; polling suggests that 55% of Republican primary voters would be more likely to support a candidate backed by him.

Newsweek

Recent polling indicates a competitive landscape for the general election. While an Emerson College poll shows Paxton tied with Talarico at 46%, Cornyn leads Talarico by three points. However, some Republican strategists warn that a Paxton victory in the primary could jeopardize the party's chances in the general election, as he is perceived as a weaker candidate compared to Cornyn.

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Critics within the Republican Party express concern that Paxton's controversial past, including impeachment proceedings and personal scandals, could harm the GOP's prospects in November. Conversely, Paxton's supporters argue that his alignment with Trump's base makes him a formidable candidate. Marjorie Taylor Greene has voiced that Trump's endorsement could backfire, potentially alienating voters who prefer a more independent choice.

Newsweek

The runoff election is set against a backdrop of heightened Democratic enthusiasm, with Talarico's campaign gaining traction among voters. The outcome of the runoff will not only determine the Republican nominee but also shape the competitive dynamics of the general election in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988. As both candidates prepare for the upcoming contest, the stakes are high for the future of the Republican Party in Texas.

Newsweek

• “Both John and Ken ran great races, but not good enough. Now, this one, must be PERFECT!” — Donald Trump, Former President

Newsweek

• “Thank you, Texas. Last night, in a historic failure for John Cornyn, he failed to get nearly 60% of the GOP vote after spending $100 million. It's time to finish the job in the runoff. Help me fire John Cornyn once and for all.” — Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General

Newsweek

• “What People Are Saying Cornyn campaign senior adviser Matt Mackowiak told Newsweek: “Recent public polling has shown James Talarico either tied or ahead of Ken Paxton if he is the nominee, which would be an electoral disaster down ballot in Texas and simultaneously jeopardize the House GOP majority and the Senate GOP majority.” — Matt Mackowiak, Cornyn Campaign Senior Adviser

Newsweek

The Texas Senate runoff is poised to be a critical battleground, reflecting the ongoing ideological struggles within the Republican Party and the potential for a competitive general election in a historically Republican stronghold.

Newsweek