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Ex-CPA Bets Big on Trump's Thanksgiving Pardon Words

3/7/2026

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Story summary
  • Joel Holsinger left his corporate CPA job to trade prediction markets full time, aiming to make his first $100,000 after two months.
  • He had about $700 at risk on whether President Trump would use phrases during the turkey pardon on Tuesday before Thanksgiving.
  • Holsinger bet on "stuffing" and "cheaper" after analyzing past Trump speeches.
  • Despite the market predicting "stuffing," he remained cautious, citing a limited sample from past Thanksgivings.