Full Breakdown
California Gubernatorial Race: Tensions Rise as Candidates Defy Party Pressure
3/7/2026, 11:44:44 AM
Overview of the Race
The race to succeed California Governor Gavin Newsom has become increasingly contentious as the California Democratic Party faces the prospect of a crowded primary that could allow two Republican candidates to advance to the general election. With the primary set for June 2, 2026, the Democratic field includes nine candidates, including prominent figures such as Rep. Eric Swalwell, former Rep. Katie Porter, and billionaire Tom Steyer. The Republican contenders, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco and former Fox News host Steve Hilton, are currently polling competitively, raising concerns among Democrats about vote-splitting.
Party Leadership's Concerns
California Democratic Party Chair Rusty Hicks recently issued an open letter urging candidates without a "viable path" to victory to withdraw from the race. Hicks warned that the fragmented Democratic field could lead to a scenario where two Republicans advance to the general election, a situation that could depress voter turnout and jeopardize Democratic efforts to regain control of the U.S. House. “It is imperative that every candidate honestly assess the viability of their candidacy and campaign,” Hicks stated.
Candidate Responses
Despite Hicks' plea, most candidates have chosen to remain in the race. State Superintendent Tony Thurmond criticized the letter, suggesting it disproportionately targets candidates of color. “The California Democratic Party is essentially telling every candidate of color in the race for governor to drop out,” he said in a video response. Former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa also pushed back, suggesting that Hicks' call for consolidation was premature given the number of undecided voters.
Only one candidate, former Assemblymember Ian Calderon, has withdrawn from the race, endorsing Swalwell in the process. Calderon acknowledged the need for a more consolidated Democratic front to avoid a potential lockout in the primary.
Polling Dynamics
Recent polling data indicates a tight race among the leading candidates. A survey by the Public Policy Institute of California shows Hilton leading with 14% support, followed closely by Porter at 13%, Bianco at 12%, and Swalwell at 11%. Meanwhile, a significant portion of voters—approximately 30%—remain undecided. This uncertainty complicates the dynamics of the race, as candidates argue that the primary is still wide open.
Criticism of Party Strategy
Critics of Hicks' approach argue that his public call for candidates to drop out reflects a lack of faith in the democratic process. Democratic strategist Elizabeth Ashford noted that while party leaders have influence, outright public pressure on candidates is not appropriate. “It’s definitely not Tammany Hall,” she remarked, referencing the historical political machine known for its control over candidate selection.
What's Next
As the June primary approaches, candidates will need to demonstrate their viability to voters. The deadline for filing to appear on the ballot has passed, but candidates can still withdraw their names. The stakes are high, as the outcome of this primary could significantly impact California's political landscape and the Democratic Party's chances in upcoming congressional races.
Verbatim Quotes
- “If you do not have a viable path to make it to the General Election, do not file to place your name on the ballot for the Primary Election.” — Rusty Hicks, Chair of the California Democratic Party
- “The California Democratic Party is essentially telling every candidate of color in the race for governor to drop out.” — Tony Thurmond, State Superintendent of Public Instruction
- “Voters choose the next governor, not political gatekeepers,” — Matt Mahan, Mayor of San Jose
As the race unfolds, the tension between party leadership and candidates will likely continue to shape the narrative leading up to the primary election.
