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PIMCO Warns: Rising Defaults Put Direct Lending at Risk

3/7/2026

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Story summary
  • Pacific Investment Management Co. (PIMCO) warns direct-lending vehicles face a stress test after underwriting relaxed since 2008.
  • Analysts Lotfi Karoui and Gabriel Cazaubieilh of PIMCO say defaults are rising, especially in software firms.
  • Business development companies (BDCs) face liquidity challenges as redemptions are limited.
  • Last year, PIMCO raised over $7 billion for an asset-based finance strategy targeting insurers and high-net-worth individuals.