Rising Fuel Prices in the UK Amid US-Israel Conflict with Iran

Since the onset of the US-Israel conflict with Iran on February 28, 2026, UK motorists have experienced significant increases in fuel prices. The conflict has disrupted energy production and transportation in the Middle East, leading to a surge in global oil prices. As of March 9, 2026, Brent crude oil prices have risen by 45%, reaching $106 per barrel, which has directly impacted the cost of petrol and diesel at UK forecourts.

BBC NewsYorkshire PostChronicleLive | Newcastle ChronicleThe IndependentLiverpool EchoOxford MailFuel cost spike likely as oil prices rise, RAC saysMiddle East crisis causes Fuel prices to surge as petrol set to hit 160p per litreCheapest places to buy petrol as prices increase in Suffolk

The average price of petrol in the UK has increased by 5p to 137.5p per litre, while diesel prices have risen by 9p to 151.0p per litre since the conflict began. Analysts predict that if oil prices remain elevated, petrol could reach 150p per litre and diesel could climb to 180p per litre in the coming weeks. Simon Williams, head of policy at the RAC, stated, “Unleaded is almost certainly going to reach an average of 140p in the next week or so, while diesel looks highly likely to climb to at least 160p a litre.”

Fuel cost spike likely as oil prices rise, RAC saysMiddle East crisis causes Fuel prices to surge as petrol set to hit 160p per litreThe IndependentLiverpool EchoBBC NewsYorkshire PostCheapest places to buy petrol as prices increase in SuffolkOxford MailChronicleLive | Newcastle Chronicle

Higher fuel prices are expected to have a cascading effect on the cost of goods and services across the UK. Increased transport costs for businesses may lead to higher prices for food and other essential items. Benjamin Godwin, a partner at PRISM Strategic Intelligence, noted that “some elements of crude oil are used in fertiliser, and so there could be a cost implication in terms of food prices.” However, if the conflict is short-lived, the immediate impact on food prices may be limited.

BBC News

In response to rising fuel costs, the AA has advised motorists to consider cutting out non-essential journeys and adopting more fuel-efficient driving habits. Edmund King, president of the AA, emphasized that the longer the conflict continues, the more it will affect oil prices. Many drivers have already begun to change their habits, with research indicating that nearly half of UK drivers are driving less frequently to save on fuel costs.

Oxford Mail

The UK government is closely monitoring the situation, with Chancellor Rachel Reeves expected to participate in emergency discussions with G7 finance ministers regarding the crisis. One option under consideration is a coordinated release of oil from emergency reserves to stabilize prices. However, analysts caution that such measures may only provide temporary relief if the conflict persists.

Yorkshire Post

While the RAC and other analysts have provided forecasts for rising fuel prices, there is uncertainty regarding the long-term impact of the conflict on household energy bills. Current price caps on domestic energy bills may shield consumers in the short term, but future adjustments could reflect the ongoing volatility in energy markets.

BBC News

• “The longer this conflict goes on, the more effect it will have on the cost of oil.” — Edmund King, AA President

Liverpool Echo

• “Average petrol and diesel prices have rocketed in the last week and are unfortunately likely to keep on rising,” — Simon Williams, RAC Head of Policy

Oxford Mail

• “The market is now facing its biggest crisis since Liberation Day, and arguably since Covid.” — Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at IG

ChronicleLive | Newcastle Chronicle

As the situation evolves, UK motorists and households will need to navigate the implications of rising fuel prices and potential changes in energy costs.

Oxford Mail