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The Coffee Crisis in Central America: Challenges for Small Producers

3/10/2026, 11:09:23 PM

Core Event: Climate Change and Economic Pressures on Coffee Farming

The coffee industry in Central America, particularly in El Salvador and Honduras, is facing a multifaceted crisis driven by climate change, economic pressures, and social challenges. Small farmers are grappling with rising production costs, unpredictable weather patterns, and a declining workforce, leading many to question the viability of coffee farming.

Background & Context: Historical Significance of Coffee Production

Historically, coffee has been a cornerstone of El Salvador's rural economy, with production peaking in the mid-1970s at over 5 million quintales. Today, national output struggles to reach 1 million quintales due to decades of land restructuring, climate volatility, and rural migration. The decline in coffee's economic importance has resulted in reduced institutional support and fragmented public services, leaving producers to navigate significant challenges largely on their own.

Key Figures & Groups: Voices from the Coffee Sector

Oscar Leiva, a coffee farmer in El Salvador, reflects on the changing climate, noting that decisions about crop management have become increasingly uncertain. Cecibel Romero, a coffee researcher, emphasizes the dual crises of climate and social issues, stating, “When prices keep producers at subsistence level, adaptation becomes impossible.” In Honduras, Juan Luis Hernández highlights the financial burden of adapting to climate change, asserting that “adaptation has a cost.” Gerardo Vásquez, a small producer, underscores the rising costs of establishing coffee farms and the impact of labor shortages on production.

Why It Matters: Implications for Small Farmers

The ongoing climate crisis is reshaping coffee cultivation, pushing producers to higher altitudes where conditions are less favorable. As temperatures rise, pests and diseases like coffee rust become more prevalent, further threatening yields. The economic landscape is also shifting, with Rabobank predicting that surpluses in production could lead to lower prices, exacerbating the challenges faced by smallholders.

Criticism & Opposition: The Struggles of Small Producers

Many small producers feel undervalued and distrustful of the market. Emeric Seguin, director of sourcing and sustainability at Fantôme, notes that “everyone feels as if they are the one being scammed.” The specialty coffee market, often touted as a solution, presents barriers such as high certification costs and limited access to processing infrastructure, leaving many farmers unable to benefit from higher prices.

Official Statements & Responses: Industry Perspectives

Carlos Guerra, co-owner of Café San Rafael, describes the current state of coffee farming, stating, “Fifteen or 20 years ago, during the coffee boom, prices were good and all the conditions existed that don’t exist any more.” He emphasizes the need for adaptation strategies that balance yields with sustainability. Sigfredo Corado from the Renacer coffee production school advocates for ecological practices that prioritize long-term stability over maximum yields.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “When prices keep producers at subsistence level,” — Cecibel Romero, Coffee Researcher
  • “Producers are being asked to adapt,” — Juan Luis Hernández, Forest Engineer
  • “Everyone feels as if they are the one being scammed,” — Emeric Seguin, Director of Sourcing and Sustainability at Fantôme
  • “If you move from producing 40 quintales per manzana to five or 10 under shade,” — Carlos Guerra, Co-owner of Café San Rafael

What's Next: The Future of Coffee Farming

As climate pressures continue to mount, the future of coffee farming in Central America hangs in the balance. The question remains: who can afford to adapt, and who will be left behind as the industry evolves? The need for sustainable practices and equitable market access is more pressing than ever.