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Full Breakdown

Ecuador Launches Major Offensive Against Criminal Organizations with U.S. Support

3/13/2026, 3:17:33 AM

Overview of the Military Offensive

Ecuador is set to initiate a significant military offensive against criminal organizations in three western provinces—Guayas, Los Ríos, and Santo Domingo de los Tsáchilas—beginning March 15, 2026. This operation, which will last until March 30, includes an 11 p.m. to 5 a.m. curfew aimed at minimizing civilian casualties and facilitating troop movements. Interior Minister John Reimberg emphasized the importance of this crackdown, stating, “We do not want collateral victims from the attacks we are about to launch.” The offensive is supported logistically by the United States, marking a notable escalation in Ecuador's fight against organized crime.

Context of the Security Crisis

Ecuador has faced a surge in violence attributed to organized crime groups, particularly since early 2021. The country has become a logistical hub for drug trafficking, primarily linked to Colombian and Mexican cartels. In 2025, Ecuador recorded 9,216 intentional homicides, making it one of the ten most violent countries globally. This alarming situation prompted President Daniel Noboa to strengthen ties with the U.S. and seek military assistance to combat the escalating criminal threat.

Key Developments in U.S.-Ecuador Relations

The recent military offensive follows a series of significant agreements between Ecuador and the United States. On March 11, the U.S. opened its first permanent FBI office in Quito, a move described as essential for enhancing investigations into criminal threats. This office will work closely with Ecuador's National Police, reflecting a deepening operational partnership. The establishment of the FBI office and joint military operations signify a strategic pivot in Ecuador's approach to tackling its security crisis.

Criticism and Opposition

Despite the government's efforts, skepticism remains regarding the efficacy of increased U.S. involvement. Critics, including the International Crisis Group, argue that military operations have historically yielded only temporary reductions in violence, with crime rates rebounding after deployments end. Reimberg claimed a 34% reduction in crime since January 2026; however, this assertion is contested by data indicating that January 2026 was still one of the deadliest months in Ecuador's history.

Official Statements and Responses

Ecuador's Vice President María José Pinto praised the FBI initiative as crucial for understanding and investigating criminal threats. Meanwhile, U.S. Southern Command commended the Ecuadorian armed forces for their commitment to combating narco-terrorism. The rapid developments in U.S.-Ecuador relations, including the signing of the Declaration of Doral against narcoterrorism, underscore a mutual recognition of the urgent need to address the security crisis.

What's Next

As the military offensive commences, the Ecuadorian government is expected to focus on dismantling the criminal economy, including illegal mining and drug trafficking operations. The outcomes of this initiative will be closely monitored, as both nations assess the effectiveness of their collaborative efforts in addressing the pervasive violence that has plagued Ecuador in recent years.