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2026 Fantasy Baseball Draft Insights: Sleepers, Breakouts, and Busts

3/15/2026, 2:32:38 PM

Key Players and Rankings

As the 2026 MLB regular season approaches, Fantasy baseball enthusiasts are gearing up for draft season. The early average draft position (ADP) indicates that two-way player Shohei Ohtani is the top pick, followed by Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, Bobby Witt, and Jose Ramirez. Among pitchers, Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes are leading the selections. However, the key to assembling a championship-caliber roster lies in identifying value picks in the mid-to-late rounds.

Notable Sleepers for 2026

One of the highlighted sleepers is Brandon Lowe, the Pittsburgh Pirates' second baseman. After being traded from the Tampa Bay Rays, Lowe is projected to be a key player in the Pirates' lineup, hitting near the top of the order. His performance in 2025, which included 31 home runs and 83 RBIs, positions him as a valuable asset, with an ADP of 118. SportsLine's model ranks him as the sixth-best second baseman, surpassing notable players like Nico Hoerner and Marcus Semien.

Breakout Candidates

Jonathan Aranda, the Tampa Bay Rays' first baseman, is another player to watch. Having played 106 games in 2025, Aranda posted a .316 batting average and an .833 OPS, along with 14 home runs and 59 RBIs. With Yandy Diaz likely shifting to designated hitter, Aranda is expected to secure a regular spot in the lineup. His ADP stands at 148, while SportsLine ranks him as the ninth-best first baseman, suggesting he could outperform several players selected much earlier.

Players to Avoid

Conversely, Mookie Betts of the Los Angeles Dodgers has been identified as a top bust for the upcoming season. Betts experienced a decline in performance, recording career-lows in batting average (.258) and OPS (.732) in 2025. His struggles continued into the postseason, raising concerns about his value at an ADP of 43. SportsLine's model suggests that players like Jeremy Pena, Corey Seager, and Willy Adames, who are being drafted several rounds later, may offer better production.

Conclusion

As Fantasy baseball drafts approach, understanding which players to target and which to avoid can significantly impact league outcomes. The insights provided by SportsLine's model, which previously identified breakout performances like Cal Raleigh's, can guide managers in making informed decisions. For comprehensive rankings and cheat sheets, Fantasy players are encouraged to consult SportsLine's resources to enhance their drafting strategies.