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CFTC Signals Increased Oversight for Prediction Markets

3/14/2026

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Summary

Story summary

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued an advisory on March 12 signaling increased oversight of prediction markets.
The advisory underscores legal uncertainty over whether prediction markets fall under federal or state jurisdiction.
Recent court rulings have conflicted, with some states asserting regulatory rights.
The CFTC is pursuing self-regulation and considering rules to prevent insider trading.
Congress is proposing legislation to establish clearer regulations for prediction markets.

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Story summary

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued an advisory on March 12 signaling increased oversight of prediction markets.
The advisory underscores legal uncertainty over whether prediction markets fall under federal or state jurisdiction.
Recent court rulings have conflicted, with some states asserting regulatory rights.
The CFTC is pursuing self-regulation and considering rules to prevent insider trading.
Congress is proposing legislation to establish clearer regulations for prediction markets.