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China's Home Prices to Plunge 4% by 2026

3/14/2026

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Story summary
  • China's home prices are projected to decline 4.0% in 2026, a sharper drop than the previously estimated 2.8%, due to high inventories and the property downturn since 2021.
  • Analysts say stronger policy support is needed to stabilize the market, including improved labor conditions and fewer unsold homes.
  • Despite previous policy measures, housing demand remains low, with property investment expected to fall 10.3% and sales 6.5% this year.