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Experts Predict 30% Recession Chance; Grocers and Netflix Thrive

3/17/2026

46 7 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Polymarket estimates a 30% chance of a U.S. recession in 2026, shaping the outlook.
Walmart Inc. is positioned to benefit as about 60% of sales come from groceries.
Netflix, Inc. has grown during recessions.
Philip Morris International Inc. has dodged recent downturns and is expected to perform well due to its addictive products and a growing smoke-free portfolio.

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Story summary

Polymarket estimates a 30% chance of a U.S. recession in 2026, shaping the outlook.
Walmart Inc. is positioned to benefit as about 60% of sales come from groceries.
Netflix, Inc. has grown during recessions.
Philip Morris International Inc. has dodged recent downturns and is expected to perform well due to its addictive products and a growing smoke-free portfolio.