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NCAA Tournament: Mid-Majors Poised for Upsets Amid NIL Shift

3/17/2026

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Story summary
  • The NCAA Tournament faces greater competition pressures from the NIL era and the transfer portal, making it harder for smaller schools to compete.
  • Last season produced few upsets, with only three teams seeded higher than No. 10 winning games.
  • Duke University and the University of Michigan remain strong but are not invincible.
  • Analysts expect potential upsets, particularly in matchups featuring mid-major teams such as South Florida and Santa Clara.