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NOAA Predicts Super El Niño: Global Temperature Surge Ahead

3/17/2026

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Summary

Story summary

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts a 62% chance El Niño will develop between June and August as La Niña ends.
If it develops, El Niño could become a 'super El Niño' with temperatures above 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit.
A super El Niño could drive unprecedented global temperatures.
It could bring warmer, drier conditions to the northern U.S.
It could raise flooding risks along the Gulf Coast and southeastern regions.

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Story summary

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecasts a 62% chance El Niño will develop between June and August as La Niña ends.
If it develops, El Niño could become a 'super El Niño' with temperatures above 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit.
A super El Niño could drive unprecedented global temperatures.
It could bring warmer, drier conditions to the northern U.S.
It could raise flooding risks along the Gulf Coast and southeastern regions.