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Lawmakers Propose Ban on Military Prediction Market Bets

3/17/2026

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Story summary
  • On March 17, 2026, U.S. Democratic lawmakers Senator Chris Murphy and Representative Greg Casar introduced a bill to ban prediction market bets on military operations and sensitive government actions.
  • The move responds to concerns about the legality and ethics of such trades, including profitable bets tied to U.S.-Israeli air strikes in Iran and operations in Venezuela.
  • The bill is part of broader efforts in Congress to regulate prediction markets.