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Indonesia Faces Fiscal Pressure as Mudik Journeys Soar Amid Oil Surge

3/17/2026

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Story summary
  • The Ministry of Transportation (MoT) estimates 143.9 million journeys will occur during this year's mudik.
  • Around half of Indonesia's 288 million people take part in mudik annually.
  • Oil prices have surged past US$100 per barrel due to the US-Israeli war on Iran, exceeding Jakarta's US$70 budget assumption.
  • Indonesia is a net oil importer and subsidizes fuel for citizens.
  • The price surge imposes fiscal pressure on Jakarta's budget.