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Rising Gas Prices Threaten U.S. Retail Sales Growth

3/18/2026

46 9 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • New England Consulting Group analysts warn that rising gas prices and growing consumer debt could hinder U.S. retail sales growth.
  • Despite a 6% year-on-year January surge in retail sales, high credit card delinquencies and inflation may limit spending.
  • Tax refunds rose 10% year over year but fell short of expectations.
  • Tom Sebok cautions that consumer resilience is weakening as discretionary-item demand dropped 3% in February.