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Trump’s Endorsement Looms Over Texas Senate Runoff

3/18/2026, 11:09:07 PM

High-Stakes Republican Showdown

The Texas Senate race is heating up as incumbent Senator John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton prepare for a Republican runoff election on May 26, 2026. Both candidates remain on the ballot after President Donald Trump failed to endorse either before the deadline for candidates to withdraw. This decision has intensified the competition, with both candidates vying for Trump's support, which could be pivotal in determining the Republican nominee.

Background of the Race

The runoff was necessitated after neither Cornyn nor Paxton secured a majority in the primary election held on March 3, 2026. Cornyn received approximately 43% of the vote compared to Paxton's 40%, leading to a contentious battle for the endorsement of Trump, who has significant influence over the Republican base. Trump had previously indicated that he would endorse one candidate and expected the other to drop out, but as of the deadline, both candidates remained committed to their campaigns.

Key Players and Their Positions

John Cornyn, a four-term incumbent, has historically aligned with Senate traditions but recently expressed willingness to modify the filibuster rules to advance the SAVE America Act, a key piece of legislation aimed at overhauling voting laws. In contrast, Ken Paxton has positioned himself as the more Trump-aligned candidate, criticizing Cornyn for not fully supporting the act and for his past criticisms of Trump.

Both candidates have engaged in sharp exchanges, with Paxton accusing Cornyn of abandoning conservative principles and Cornyn highlighting Paxton's legal troubles, including allegations of bribery and corruption that led to his impeachment in 2023.

The Role of Trump's Endorsement

Trump's endorsement is seen as crucial for both candidates. He has stated that his decision will depend on the progress of the SAVE America Act, which requires proof of citizenship for voter registration and photo ID for voting. Trump has expressed a desire to see the bill passed, emphasizing its importance for securing elections. He has also suggested that the candidate he does not endorse should withdraw from the race to unify Republican support.

Criticism and Opposition

Political analysts have noted that both candidates face challenges in appealing to the broader Republican electorate. Joshua Blank, research director for the Texas Politics Project, remarked that many voters hold negative views about both candidates, making the runoff unpredictable. Additionally, there are concerns within the Republican Party about Paxton's electability in the general election against Democratic nominee James Talarico, who is attempting to become the first Democrat elected to the Senate from Texas since 1988.

What's Next

As the May 26 runoff approaches, both candidates are intensifying their campaigns, with Cornyn's team confident in their strategy despite Paxton's criticisms. Trump is expected to announce his endorsement soon, which could significantly influence the outcome of the election and the future direction of the Texas Republican Party.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “For too long, John Cornyn has turned his back on us,” — Ken Paxton, Texas Attorney General
  • “I like both candidates very much.” — Donald Trump, Former President

This runoff represents a critical moment for Texas Republicans as they navigate internal divisions and seek to maintain their hold on a key Senate seat.