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Belly Fat Surpasses BMI in Predicting Heart Failure Risk

3/18/2026

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Story summary
  • The study presented at the American Heart Association's EPI|Lifestyle Scientific Sessions 2026 finds belly fat better predicts heart failure risk than BMI.
  • Researchers tracked about 2,000 adults for a median 6.9 years, with waist circumference raising heart failure risk by 31% and waist-to-height ratio by 27%.
  • Inflammation accounted for 25–33% of the link between belly fat and heart failure.
  • The findings support adding waist measurements to preventive care.