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China's Oil Production Peaks, Reliance on Imports Grows

3/20/2026

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Story summary
  • China produced a record 4.32 million barrels per day last year through aggressive drilling and offshore projects.
  • Experts warn that production may plateau below this level for the next decade due to economic limits and challenges in exploiting unconventional resources.
  • China remained heavily reliant on imports, totaling 11.55 million barrels per day last year.
  • Analysts expect production growth to slow and peak around 2028–2030, reinforcing dependence on global oil markets.