Full Breakdown
Arizona Wildcats vs. LIU Sharks: March Madness 2026 First Round Preview
3/21/2026, 5:40:16 AM
Matchup Overview
The No. 1 seed Arizona Wildcats (32-2) are set to face the No. 16 seed Long Island University (LIU) Sharks (24-10) in the first round of the 2026 NCAA Tournament. The game will take place on March 20 at 1:35 p.m. ET at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California. Arizona enters the tournament as the reigning Big 12 champions, having secured their title with a 79-74 victory over Houston. Meanwhile, LIU clinched their spot in the tournament by winning the Northeast Conference (NEC) championship against Mercyhurst.
Team Profiles
Arizona, led by head coach Tommy Lloyd, boasts a strong roster featuring standout players such as Jaden Bradley, the Big 12 Player of the Year, and freshman Brayden Burries, who averages 15.9 points per game. The Wildcats are known for their high offensive and defensive efficiency, ranking in the top five nationally in both categories.
LIU, under the guidance of former NBA player Rod Strickland, has shown significant improvement, winning their most games since the 2011-12 season. The Sharks are led by senior guard Greg Gordon, who averages 16.4 points per game, and Malachi Davis, who contributes 14.4 points per game. LIU's defensive strategy focuses on forcing turnovers and aggressive play, which they hope will disrupt Arizona's rhythm.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Arizona is heavily favored, with sportsbooks listing them as 30.5-point favorites. The over/under for total points is set at 150.5. While many analysts predict a comfortable win for Arizona, some believe LIU could cover the spread, given their recent performance and competitive spirit. Notably, Arizona has struggled against the spread when favored by 30 points or more, going 1-6 in such games this season.
Key Factors for LIU
For LIU to have a chance, they must:
1. Start strong to instill doubt in Arizona.
2. Capitalize on their perimeter shooting, aiming to make at least 10 three-pointers.
3. Limit turnovers, as they ranked 319th in turnover rate during the season.
Arizona's Strengths
Arizona's size advantage, particularly with 7'2" center Motiejus Krivas, poses a significant challenge for LIU. The Wildcats excel in both offensive and defensive rebounding, which could prove decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Official Statements & Responses
LIU players have expressed confidence despite the odds. Forward Shadrak Lasu stated, “You’ve got to go in with the mindset that you’re going to win,” emphasizing their preparation and determination. Coach Strickland echoed this sentiment, highlighting the importance of belief in their ability to compete.
Criticism & Opposition
Critics argue that the historical trend of No. 16 seeds struggling against No. 1 seeds—only two have ever won—casts doubt on LIU's chances. Additionally, Arizona's depth and experience in high-pressure situations may overwhelm the Sharks.
What's Next
The winner of this matchup will advance to face the victor of the game between No. 8 Villanova and No. 9 Utah State in the next round of the tournament.
Verbatim Quotes
- “You’ve got to go in with the mindset that you’re going to win,” — Shadrak Lasu, LIU Forward
- “Our goal from the beginning was to win the regular season, win the conference, and then get to the dance, and then make some noise.” — Rod Strickland, LIU Head Coach
As the tournament unfolds, both teams will look to make their mark, with Arizona aiming for a deep run and LIU hoping to create a memorable upset.
