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Average Tax Refunds Rise, But Overpayments Worry Experts

3/20/2026

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Story summary
  • Average federal tax refunds are higher this year, totaling $3,676, up from $3,324 last year.
  • The increase is smaller than the White House's previously projected $1,000 boost.
  • Some taxpayers, especially those benefiting from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's deductions, may see larger refunds.
  • Experts warn that larger refunds are overpayments to the Internal Revenue Service, risking financial strain from unexpected expenses.
  • Adjusting tax withholdings could help avoid future overpayments.