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Iran's Instability Won't Spark Mass Refugee Crisis, Experts Say

3/21/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Andrew Arthur, a top immigration expert, says Iran's instability is unlikely to trigger a refugee crisis like Syria or Afghanistan.
Iran's large size and geography allow internal relocation, reducing the likelihood of mass exodus.
The U.S. lacks a presence in Iran to facilitate evacuation, unlike during the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal.
The White House says there are no plans for an influx of Middle Eastern refugees, with neighboring countries providing support.

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Story summary

Andrew Arthur, a top immigration expert, says Iran's instability is unlikely to trigger a refugee crisis like Syria or Afghanistan.
Iran's large size and geography allow internal relocation, reducing the likelihood of mass exodus.
The U.S. lacks a presence in Iran to facilitate evacuation, unlike during the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal.
The White House says there are no plans for an influx of Middle Eastern refugees, with neighboring countries providing support.