Story perspectives

Poll: Republicans Lead California Gubernatorial Race Amid Vote Split

3/21/2026

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Summary

Story summary

A recent poll shows Republican Steve Hilton leading California's 2026 gubernatorial race with 17%.
Republican Chad Bianco trails at 16% in the same poll as the Democratic field remains crowded.
Tom Steyer, a billionaire candidate, has surged to 10% after substantial ad spending, potentially reshaping the race.
Democrats may split their votes, potentially letting two Republicans advance to the November election.
Voters prioritize affordability ahead of the June 2 primary.

History

Historical Context

The 2003 California gubernatorial recall election marked a significant political shift, as Governor Gray Davis was removed from office with 55.4% of voters supporting the recall. Arnold Schwarzenegger, a Republican, won the replacement election with 48.6% of the vote. This unprecedented event highlighted California's volatile electorate and set a precedent for celebrity candidates in politics, influencing current races amid ongoing voter concerns about affordability.

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Story summary

A recent poll shows Republican Steve Hilton leading California's 2026 gubernatorial race with 17%.
Republican Chad Bianco trails at 16% in the same poll as the Democratic field remains crowded.
Tom Steyer, a billionaire candidate, has surged to 10% after substantial ad spending, potentially reshaping the race.
Democrats may split their votes, potentially letting two Republicans advance to the November election.
Voters prioritize affordability ahead of the June 2 primary.

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