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Iran Tensions Threaten Global Fertilizer Supply Chains

3/22/2026

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Story summary
  • Rising tensions around Iran threaten to disrupt global fertilizer supply chains and food production.
  • China may benefit from predicting grain output six months in advance, enabling strategic risk navigation.
  • The Strait of Hormuz remains a vulnerability for global energy and commodities, with a third of global urea exports passing through.
  • Disruptions to energy supplies can drive up fertilizer costs and affect farmers' yields.