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Rising Oil Prices Squeeze India's Economy, Rupee Nears 94

3/23/2026

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Story summary
  • Global crude oil prices around $107–$112 per barrel squeeze corporate profits in India and push the rupee toward 93.95 per US dollar.
  • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) faces inflation pressures from supply issues, limiting its ability to raise rates.
  • India relies on imported oil for over 85% of consumption, and analysts expect volatility with the rupee near 94 per US dollar by June 2026 and FY27 GDP at 6.6%–7.7%.