Gulf States' Evolving Stance on Military Action Against Iran

Initially, Gulf countries, including the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and Qatar, advised U.S. President Donald Trump against launching military action against Iran. However, as the conflict has escalated, these nations are now advocating for continued strikes against Iran to degrade its military capabilities. Senior officials from these countries expressed a desire to prevent Iran from emerging from the conflict with the ability to threaten Gulf states, highlighting a significant shift in their stance.

Times of IsraelGulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After Attacks

The U.S. and Israel initiated military operations against Iran, citing concerns over its nuclear ambitions and ballistic missile development. Despite initial opposition from Gulf states, the ongoing military actions have prompted a reevaluation of their positions. Gulf officials noted that Iran's retaliatory strikes against their nations were anticipated, which contributed to their initial reluctance to support military action. Nevertheless, the perception of an armed Iran as a regional threat has led to a consensus among many Gulf states that military engagement is necessary.

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While there is a general agreement on the need to weaken Iran's military, opinions vary on the extent and duration of military action. The UAE and Saudi Arabia are more inclined to support ongoing strikes, while Oman has expressed a preference for diplomatic solutions. Oman’s Foreign Minister Badr Albusaidi emphasized the importance of ending hostilities as soon as possible, reflecting a more cautious approach compared to other Gulf states.

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Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan asserted that Gulf countries are prepared to respond to Iranian attacks, emphasizing their capability to engage in military operations if necessary. This statement aligns with the broader sentiment among Gulf nations to enhance their defensive readiness while simultaneously pursuing diplomatic avenues to de-escalate tensions.

Gulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After AttacksTimes of Israel

Despite the push for military action, some Gulf officials have raised concerns about the potential for diminishing returns from prolonged conflict. One official warned that the war could drag on without achieving significant deterrence against Iran, suggesting a need for Gulf states to diversify their security partnerships beyond the U.S. This perspective highlights the complexities and risks involved in the current military strategy.

Gulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After Attacks

Since the onset of the conflict, Gulf states have reported significant military engagements, including the interception of 338 ballistic missiles, 15 cruise missiles, and 1,740 drones. Bahrain also reported intercepting 129 missiles and 233 drones, underscoring the scale of the threat posed by Iran and the ongoing military operations in the region.

Times of Israel

As the conflict continues, Gulf countries face the challenge of defending their interests without becoming direct participants in a war they do not control. Experts suggest that a more coordinated approach is necessary, combining military readiness with diplomatic efforts to manage the confrontation with Iran. The future of Gulf-Iran relations remains uncertain, as the region grapples with the implications of ongoing hostilities and the need for a clear strategic doctrine.

Gulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After Attacks

• “Ending the war with Iran still in possession of the tools it is currently using to target the GCC would be a strategic disaster,” — Gulf Official

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• “Iran is mistaken if it believes Gulf countries are unable to respond” — Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi Foreign Minister

Gulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After Attacks

• “Gulf countries know that any direct confrontation with Iran will not remain at the level of symbolic strikes, but could extend to energy, ports, navigation, aviation, markets, and supply chains.” — Ibtisam Al-Ketbi, Emirates Policy Center Head

Gulf States’ Strategy Against Iran Three Weeks After Attacks