U.S. Strategy Towards Cuba: Business Interests Over Democracy

On March 16, 2026, President Donald Trump made a controversial declaration regarding Cuba, stating, “I do believe I’ll be having the honor of taking Cuba.” This statement reflects a broader strategy by the Trump administration to exploit Cuba's current vulnerabilities for economic gain, rather than prioritizing democratic reforms or humanitarian concerns.

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The U.S.-Cuba relationship has been fraught with tension for over a century, beginning with American attempts to purchase Cuba from Spain in the 19th century. Following the Spanish-American War, Cuba became an American protectorate, leading to extensive U.S. economic interests on the island. The Cold War further complicated relations, particularly during the Cuban Missile Crisis. Efforts to normalize relations began under President Barack Obama in December 2014 but were largely reversed when Trump took office in 2017, reinstating sanctions and tariffs that exacerbated Cuba's economic struggles.

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Cuba is currently facing severe economic challenges, including widespread blackouts, food shortages, and a collapsing healthcare system. The Trump administration's oil blockade, instituted after a military operation in Venezuela, has significantly contributed to this crisis. Reports indicate that the U.S. is considering a strategy similar to its approach in Venezuela, aiming to replace President Miguel Díaz-Canel while maintaining the Communist government, thus allowing wealthy Republican donors with Cuban ancestry to gain influence and potentially leadership roles in a transitional government.

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who has long advocated for the overthrow of the Cuban regime, is reportedly influencing U.S. policy towards Cuba. Rubio's focus appears to be on economic opportunities rather than democratic ideals, as he acknowledged that “the fundamental problem [is that] Cuba has no economy.” This perspective aligns with Trump's interests in establishing business ventures, including potential Trump-branded developments in Cuba.

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Critics argue that the Trump administration's approach prioritizes business interests over the well-being of the Cuban people. The administration's actions are seen as a continuation of a pattern where economic exploitation takes precedence over genuine democratic reform. Observers note that the administration is unlikely to consider the perspectives of those without financial stakes in Cuba's future.

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The Trump administration has framed its actions as necessary for national security and economic opportunity, with officials stating, “We control our hemisphere, and we have the ability to do this.” This reflects a broader strategy of seeking to dominate the region rather than engaging in diplomatic efforts.

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As the situation in Cuba evolves, the U.S. strategy under Trump and Rubio may lead to increased tensions both domestically and internationally. The focus on economic exploitation raises questions about the long-term implications for U.S.-Cuba relations and the potential for further humanitarian crises on the island.

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• “I do believe I’ll be having the honor of taking Cuba,” — Donald Trump, President of the United States

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• “the fundamental problem [is that] Cuba has no economy.” — Marco Rubio, Secretary of State

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• “According to the Atlantic, one of the people familiar with the administration’s plans said, “We control our hemisphere, and we have the ability to do this.” — Anonymous source, Trump administration

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This narrative underscores the complexities of U.S. foreign policy towards Cuba, highlighting the intersection of economic interests and historical tensions.

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