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Study: Carbon Neutral Fuels Could Meet EU Transport Needs by 2040

3/27/2026

Summary

Story summary

A study projects that Carbon Neutral Fuels (CNF) could fully meet European Union transport fuel demands by 2040 using European raw materials.
Initially, moderate imports will be necessary to support CNF deployment.
By 2030, renewable alternatives could satisfy 38–55% of road transport fuel needs, rising to 44–67% by 2035.
The long-term goal is to position CNF as a complement to electrification, enabling a petroleum-free energy transition without imports.

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Story summary

A study projects that Carbon Neutral Fuels (CNF) could fully meet European Union transport fuel demands by 2040 using European raw materials.
Initially, moderate imports will be necessary to support CNF deployment.
By 2030, renewable alternatives could satisfy 38–55% of road transport fuel needs, rising to 44–67% by 2035.
The long-term goal is to position CNF as a complement to electrification, enabling a petroleum-free energy transition without imports.