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Analysis of North Sea Oil and Gas Licensing Under Conservative Government

3/28/2026, 1:56:14 PM

Overview of Licensing and Production

Between 2010 and 2024, the Conservative government granted hundreds of new oil and gas licenses in the North Sea across seven licensing rounds. Despite this extensive licensing, analysis by the energy consultancy Voar and the campaign group Uplift reveals that these projects have produced only the equivalent of 36 days’ worth of gas. The newly licensed fields are projected to supply the UK for approximately six months over their lifetime, raising questions about the effectiveness of this strategy in addressing energy security and reducing energy bills.

Criticism of Current Licensing Strategy

Critics argue that the claims made by the Conservative Party and Reform UK regarding the benefits of new drilling licenses are unfounded. Kemi Badenoch, a prominent Conservative figure, has advocated for increased drilling to protect families from rising energy costs. However, experts contend that the North Sea is a "mature basin," with output having declined by 75% since its peak and 90% of its reserves already depleted. They assert that new licenses will have minimal impact on the UK's reliance on imported gas, as energy prices are determined by international markets.

Jess Ralston, head of energy at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit, emphasized that issuing more licenses would serve as a "sticking plaster" rather than a long-term solution for British consumers. She stated, “The reality is that we’ve drained dry around 90% of oil and gas there.”

Alternative Energy Strategies

In contrast to the Conservative approach, the Labour Party has proposed a ban on new oil and gas licensing, advocating for a shift towards renewable energy sources. This strategy has garnered support from various economists and climate experts, who argue that investing in renewables and enhancing home energy efficiency—such as through better insulation and heat pumps—would provide a more sustainable solution to energy security.

Official Statements & Responses

Khan, a spokesperson for the Labour Party, remarked, “New drilling would not take a penny off our bills, something even the industry has conceded.” He further advocated for a focus on renewables to insulate the UK from future oil shocks. This sentiment reflects a growing consensus among experts that reducing fossil fuel demand through electric vehicles and renewable energy is essential for long-term energy security.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

While the Conservative Party has been contacted for comments regarding these findings, there is a notable absence of a comprehensive response to the criticisms leveled against their licensing strategy. The lack of clarity on the effectiveness of new licenses in reducing energy bills and enhancing energy security remains a significant gap in the ongoing debate.

What's Next

As the energy crisis continues to unfold, the political discourse surrounding North Sea oil and gas licensing is expected to intensify. The outcomes of upcoming elections may further influence the direction of energy policy in the UK, particularly regarding the balance between fossil fuel extraction and renewable energy investment.