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Iran Conflict Disrupts Global Oil Supply, Fuels Recession Risks

3/31/2026

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Story summary
  • The ongoing conflict in Iran disrupts global oil and gas supplies and energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • The war has shifted from air power to low-cost missiles and drones, heightening energy disruption.
  • Together with Russia's invasion of Ukraine and COVID supply issues, fuel shortages rise and could spark a recession.
  • Despite progress in renewable energy, the fossil-fuel transition remains incomplete and markets stay vulnerable.