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U.S. Treasury Yields Drop Amid Growth Concerns and Inflation

3/31/2026

42 10 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

U.S. Treasury yields decline as investors shift to growth risks from the Middle East and inflation.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.37%, easing from highs.
Rising oil prices may slow growth and curb the Federal Reserve's ability to raise rates.
Upcoming ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and jobs data will shape policy after the 2026 rate-hike probability falls to about 20 percent.

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Story summary

U.S. Treasury yields decline as investors shift to growth risks from the Middle East and inflation.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.37%, easing from highs.
Rising oil prices may slow growth and curb the Federal Reserve's ability to raise rates.
Upcoming ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and jobs data will shape policy after the 2026 rate-hike probability falls to about 20 percent.